This week the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) in cooperation with Wageningen University announced in a press release a study on adaptive nature policies: ”Adaptatiestrategie voor een klimaatbestendige natuur” Official English versions of neither the press releyase nor the report are available, so my short summary may be of some help:
Expected climate changes will lead to the extinction of about 15% of local animal and plant species. On the other hand new species may migrate and take over functions of the extinct species and keep biodiversity on level. To facilitate these changes nature policies should be changed. No more focus on preservation of species in specified areas, but enhancing of nature’s overall adaptive capacity.
That means larger joined nature areas, where possible joined cross-border as to facilitate migration and living conditions for all species by extending their possibilities to move along changing climate zones. The authors recommend that this adaption should be incorporated in the Ecologische Hoofdstructuur (National Ecological Network), a project started in the early nineties.